Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Wallace, ID
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 3. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 28, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 12 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 29 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 2 |
Last 20° | Apr 9 | Apr 1 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 | Feb 18 |
Last 24° | Apr 26 | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 11 |
Last 28° | May 15 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 |
Last 32° | Jun 6 | May 31 | May 27 | May 23 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 4 |
Last 36° | Jul 3 | Jun 26 | Jun 20 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 28 | May 21 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 14.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 22
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 30
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 29 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 |
First 20° | Oct 24 | Oct 31 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 6 |
First 24° | Oct 2 | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 16 |
First 28° | Sep 21 | Sep 27 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 26 |
First 32° | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 |
First 36° | Aug 26 | Sep 1 | Sep 5 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 26 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.