Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Walhalla, SC
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 20. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 19, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 1 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 9 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 12 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 25 | Jan 15 |
Last 20° | Mar 22 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 |
Last 24° | Apr 4 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 |
Last 28° | Apr 20 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 |
Last 32° | May 3 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 |
Last 36° | May 20 | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 12 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 12.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 21
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 31
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 29 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 4 | Jan 11 | Jan 19 | Jan 31 |
First 20° | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 17 | Dec 24 |
First 24° | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 |
First 28° | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
First 32° | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
First 36° | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.