Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Vevay, IN
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 16. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 23, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 2 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 21 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 |
Last 20° | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
Last 24° | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 7 |
Last 28° | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
Last 32° | May 3 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 |
Last 36° | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 14.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 24
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 3
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 19 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 |
First 20° | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 |
First 24° | Oct 27 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 6 |
First 28° | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 |
First 32° | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
First 36° | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.