Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Tyndall, SD
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 24.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 4
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 14
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 23 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Dec 2 |
First 20° | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 |
First 24° | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
First 28° | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 |
First 32° | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 20 |
First 36° | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 19. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 25, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 5 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 |
Last 20° | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 |
Last 24° | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 |
Last 28° | May 6 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 |
Last 32° | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
Last 36° | May 19 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.