Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Twin Falls, ID
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 23. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 25, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 5 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 16 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 19 | Feb 14 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 |
Last 20° | Apr 9 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 25 |
Last 24° | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
Last 28° | May 16 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
Last 32° | May 29 | May 23 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 29 | Apr 23 |
Last 36° | Jun 23 | Jun 17 | Jun 12 | Jun 9 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 25 | May 19 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 14.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 25
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 5
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 3 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 |
First 20° | Oct 19 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
First 24° | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
First 28° | Sep 24 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 28 |
First 32° | Sep 9 | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 |
First 36° | Aug 31 | Sep 5 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.