Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Troutdale, OR
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 10. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 9, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 21 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Jan 27 | Jan 10 | Dec 21 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Feb 6 | Jan 26 | Jan 17 | Jan 8 | Dec 26 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 24° | Feb 20 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 6 | -- | -- |
Last 28° | Mar 20 | Mar 8 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Jan 30 | Jan 20 | Jan 6 |
Last 32° | Apr 21 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 3 |
Last 36° | May 10 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 3 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 22.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 11
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by December 2
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 18 | Jan 3 | Jan 22 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 20° | Dec 16 | Dec 28 | Jan 7 | Jan 17 | Feb 1 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 24° | Dec 2 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Dec 29 | Jan 5 | Jan 13 | Jan 24 | -- | -- |
First 28° | Oct 20 | Nov 2 | Nov 12 | Nov 20 | Nov 28 | Dec 6 | Dec 15 | Dec 25 | Jan 11 |
First 32° | Oct 11 | Oct 22 | Oct 30 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Dec 2 | Dec 13 |
First 36° | Sep 29 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 | Nov 10 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.