Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Silver Lake Brighton, UT
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 30. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 28, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by July 11 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | May 23 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 21 |
Last 20° | May 31 | May 26 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 6 | May 1 |
Last 24° | Jun 11 | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 25 | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 8 |
Last 28° | Jun 28 | Jun 22 | Jun 17 | Jun 13 | Jun 10 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 28 | May 22 |
Last 32° | Jul 20 | Jul 13 | Jul 8 | Jul 4 | Jun 30 | Jun 26 | Jun 21 | Jun 16 | Jun 9 |
Last 36° | Jul 30 | Jul 23 | Jul 19 | Jul 14 | Jul 11 | Jul 7 | Jul 3 | Jun 28 | Jun 21 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 19.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around August 31
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 13
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Sep 25 | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 6 |
First 20° | Sep 20 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 24 |
First 24° | Sep 12 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 12 |
First 28° | Aug 25 | Aug 31 | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 30 |
First 32° | Aug 12 | Aug 19 | Aug 23 | Aug 27 | Aug 31 | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 13 | Sep 20 |
First 36° | Aug 2 | Aug 9 | Aug 14 | Aug 18 | Aug 22 | Aug 25 | Aug 29 | Sep 3 | Sep 10 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.