Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Santuck, SC
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 6. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 6, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 18 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 27 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 18 | Jan 8 | -- |
Last 20° | Mar 9 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 15 | Feb 10 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 |
Last 24° | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 |
Last 28° | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 |
Last 32° | Apr 24 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 16 |
Last 36° | May 6 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Mar 31 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 24.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 4
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 16
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 14 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 14 | Jan 21 | Jan 29 | Feb 11 | -- |
First 20° | Nov 29 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 18 | Dec 22 | Dec 26 | Dec 31 | Jan 7 |
First 24° | Nov 11 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 |
First 28° | Oct 31 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 5 |
First 32° | Oct 17 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 |
First 36° | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.