Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Reidsville, NC
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 15.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 27
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 8
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 28 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Dec 31 | Jan 5 | Jan 12 | Jan 21 |
First 20° | Nov 18 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 |
First 24° | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 |
First 28° | Oct 18 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 |
First 32° | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
First 36° | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 8. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 12, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 22 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 9 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 10 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 14 |
Last 20° | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 |
Last 24° | Apr 4 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 18 |
Last 28° | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 |
Last 32° | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 |
Last 36° | May 8 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.