Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Redstone, MT
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 16. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 3, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 20 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 29 |
Last 20° | May 12 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
Last 24° | May 23 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
Last 28° | Jun 1 | May 27 | May 23 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 | Apr 30 |
Last 32° | Jun 12 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 15 |
Last 36° | Jul 16 | Jul 7 | Jun 30 | Jun 25 | Jun 20 | Jun 15 | Jun 10 | Jun 3 | May 25 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 21.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 2
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 13
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Sep 15 | Sep 24 | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Nov 4 |
First 20° | Sep 9 | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 20 |
First 24° | Sep 5 | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 11 |
First 28° | Aug 29 | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 28 |
First 32° | Aug 15 | Aug 21 | Aug 26 | Aug 29 | Sep 2 | Sep 5 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 19 |
First 36° | Aug 9 | Aug 15 | Aug 19 | Aug 22 | Aug 26 | Aug 29 | Sep 1 | Sep 6 | Sep 11 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.