Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Philo, OH
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 29.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 10
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 21
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 |
First 20° | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
First 24° | Oct 19 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
First 28° | Oct 3 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 | Nov 8 |
First 32° | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 27 |
First 36° | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 2. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 28, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 12 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 |
Last 20° | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 |
Last 24° | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 |
Last 28° | May 4 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 |
Last 32° | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
Last 36° | Jun 2 | May 26 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 28 | Apr 21 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.