Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Parr, SC
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 9. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 10, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 21 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 27 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 27 | Jan 21 | Jan 13 | -- |
Last 20° | Mar 18 | Mar 8 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 27 | Jan 17 |
Last 24° | Mar 26 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 |
Last 28° | Apr 16 | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Feb 27 |
Last 32° | Apr 26 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
Last 36° | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 4 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 20.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 1
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 13
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 4 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 25 | -- |
First 20° | Nov 15 | Nov 27 | Dec 5 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 3 | Jan 12 | Jan 24 |
First 24° | Nov 5 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 |
First 28° | Oct 29 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 5 |
First 32° | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 |
First 36° | Oct 3 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.