Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Parowan, UT
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 20. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 28, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 6 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 8 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 25 |
Last 20° | Apr 25 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 13 |
Last 24° | May 5 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Mar 31 |
Last 28° | May 26 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 21 |
Last 32° | Jun 13 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 25 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 6 |
Last 36° | Jun 20 | Jun 15 | Jun 12 | Jun 9 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 28 | May 23 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 18.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 28
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 8
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 |
First 20° | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 |
First 24° | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 8 |
First 28° | Sep 22 | Sep 28 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 30 |
First 32° | Sep 13 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 |
First 36° | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 3 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.