Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Omak, WA
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 17. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 8, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 24 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 17 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 19 | Feb 14 | Feb 9 | Feb 1 |
Last 20° | Apr 3 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 22 |
Last 24° | Apr 22 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 12 |
Last 28° | May 8 | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 2 |
Last 32° | May 30 | May 23 | May 18 | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 20 |
Last 36° | Jun 17 | Jun 9 | Jun 3 | May 29 | May 24 | May 19 | May 14 | May 8 | Apr 29 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 18.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 27
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 6
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 27 | Nov 6 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 24 |
First 20° | Oct 16 | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Dec 4 |
First 24° | Oct 1 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 15 |
First 28° | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 |
First 32° | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 |
First 36° | Sep 5 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 3 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.