Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Odessa, WA
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 8. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 26, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 12 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 22 | Mar 11 | Mar 3 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 26 | Jan 15 |
Last 20° | Apr 22 | Apr 9 | Apr 1 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 | Mar 10 | Mar 2 | Feb 21 | Feb 9 |
Last 24° | May 11 | May 2 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 18 |
Last 28° | May 23 | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 13 |
Last 32° | Jun 12 | Jun 4 | May 29 | May 24 | May 19 | May 14 | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 25 |
Last 36° | Jul 8 | Jun 29 | Jun 23 | Jun 17 | Jun 12 | Jun 7 | Jun 2 | May 26 | May 17 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 13.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 23
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 2
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 24 | Nov 1 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 13 |
First 20° | Oct 7 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 22 |
First 24° | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 |
First 28° | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 |
First 32° | Sep 8 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 7 |
First 36° | Aug 19 | Aug 25 | Aug 30 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 26 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.