Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Mt Pleasant, IA
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 30.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 10
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 19
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
First 20° | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 |
First 24° | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 |
First 28° | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
First 32° | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 |
First 36° | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 19. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 23, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 3 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 |
Last 20° | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 |
Last 24° | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 |
Last 28° | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 |
Last 32° | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 |
Last 36° | May 19 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.