Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Meeker, OK
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 30. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 9, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 17 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 7 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 13 | Feb 8 | Feb 4 | Jan 29 | Jan 21 |
Last 20° | Mar 20 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 |
Last 24° | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 |
Last 28° | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 |
Last 32° | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 |
Last 36° | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 19.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 28
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 6
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 15 | Nov 27 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 8 | Jan 19 |
First 20° | Nov 10 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 |
First 24° | Oct 28 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 5 | Dec 13 |
First 28° | Oct 23 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
First 32° | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 |
First 36° | Sep 26 | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 5 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.