Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Mcgill, NV
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 26. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 1, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 11 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 13 | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Feb 28 |
Last 20° | May 7 | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 19 |
Last 24° | May 17 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 13 |
Last 28° | May 31 | May 25 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 27 |
Last 32° | Jun 19 | Jun 13 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 24 | May 20 | May 14 |
Last 36° | Jun 26 | Jun 21 | Jun 17 | Jun 14 | Jun 11 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 27 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 10.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 24
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 8
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
First 20° | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
First 24° | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
First 28° | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 |
First 32° | Sep 3 | Sep 10 | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 8 | Oct 15 |
First 36° | Aug 29 | Sep 3 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Oct 1 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.