Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Mccoll, SC
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 20.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 1
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 13
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 21 | Dec 29 | Jan 5 | Jan 11 | Jan 17 | Jan 24 | Feb 3 | -- | -- |
First 20° | Dec 1 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 18 |
First 24° | Nov 9 | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 29 |
First 28° | Oct 28 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 |
First 32° | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 |
First 36° | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 9 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 25. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 2, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 11 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 21 | Jan 15 | Jan 6 | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Mar 5 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 14 | Jan 2 |
Last 24° | Mar 12 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 18 | Feb 14 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 |
Last 28° | Apr 6 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 | Feb 19 |
Last 32° | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 |
Last 36° | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.