Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Mccammon, ID
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 2. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 19, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 6 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 3 | Mar 25 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 9 |
Last 20° | Apr 23 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 6 |
Last 24° | May 5 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 1 |
Last 28° | May 17 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 |
Last 32° | Jun 10 | Jun 2 | May 28 | May 23 | May 18 | May 14 | May 9 | May 4 | Apr 26 |
Last 36° | Jul 2 | Jun 23 | Jun 16 | Jun 11 | Jun 6 | May 31 | May 26 | May 19 | May 11 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 9.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 18
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 26
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
First 20° | Oct 5 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 9 |
First 24° | Sep 24 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 29 |
First 28° | Sep 12 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 |
First 32° | Sep 5 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Oct 1 |
First 36° | Aug 25 | Aug 30 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 24 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.