Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Marcus Hook, PA
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 20. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 4, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 10 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 7 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 14 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Jan 29 | Jan 17 |
Last 20° | Mar 22 | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Jan 29 |
Last 24° | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 |
Last 28° | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 |
Last 32° | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 |
Last 36° | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by November 3.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 14
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 26
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 11 | Jan 17 | Jan 24 | Feb 5 |
First 20° | Dec 4 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 26 | Dec 31 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 18 |
First 24° | Nov 27 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 14 | Dec 18 | Dec 21 | Dec 25 | Dec 31 |
First 28° | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 |
First 32° | Oct 28 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 |
First 36° | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.