Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Longview, TX
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 18. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on March 24, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 3 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 8 | Jan 29 | Jan 21 | Jan 13 | Jan 3 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Feb 24 | Feb 12 | Feb 4 | Jan 27 | Jan 20 | Jan 13 | Jan 3 | Dec 20 | -- |
Last 24° | Mar 6 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 10 |
Last 28° | Mar 26 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 4 |
Last 32° | Apr 8 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Feb 27 |
Last 36° | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by November 3.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 15
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 26
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 18 | Dec 29 | Jan 7 | Jan 16 | Jan 27 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 20° | Dec 2 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 4 | Jan 11 | Jan 25 | -- |
First 24° | Nov 21 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 8 |
First 28° | Nov 4 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 |
First 32° | Oct 28 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 3 |
First 36° | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.