Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for London Locks, WV
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 14. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 19, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 29 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 16 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 21 |
Last 20° | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 |
Last 24° | Apr 3 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 |
Last 28° | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 |
Last 32° | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Mar 30 |
Last 36° | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 20.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 1
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 12
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 24 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 15 |
First 20° | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 |
First 24° | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 |
First 28° | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 |
First 32° | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
First 36° | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.