Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Lewes, DE
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 30. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 9, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 17 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 4 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 14 | Feb 10 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 17 |
Last 20° | Mar 21 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 1 |
Last 24° | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 |
Last 28° | Apr 10 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 |
Last 32° | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 |
Last 36° | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 26.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 5
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 14
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 12 | Jan 17 | Jan 26 |
First 20° | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 16 | Dec 19 | Dec 22 | Dec 26 | Dec 30 | Jan 5 |
First 24° | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 15 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 |
First 28° | Oct 29 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 |
First 32° | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 |
First 36° | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.