Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Larimore, ND
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 17.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 25
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 4
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
First 20° | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
First 24° | Sep 29 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 |
First 28° | Sep 20 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 |
First 32° | Sep 12 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 |
First 36° | Aug 30 | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 28 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 7. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 13, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 23 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 |
Last 20° | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 |
Last 24° | May 6 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 |
Last 28° | May 16 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 14 |
Last 32° | May 24 | May 20 | May 17 | May 15 | May 13 | May 10 | May 8 | May 5 | May 1 |
Last 36° | Jun 7 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 8 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.