Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for La Grande, OR
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 30. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 23, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 7 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 10 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 14 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Jan 29 | Jan 21 |
Last 20° | Mar 31 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 9 |
Last 24° | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 |
Last 28° | May 18 | May 11 | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 7 |
Last 32° | Jun 18 | Jun 9 | Jun 2 | May 27 | May 21 | May 16 | May 10 | May 2 | Apr 23 |
Last 36° | Jun 30 | Jun 22 | Jun 16 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 23 | May 15 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 15.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 24
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 3
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 2 | Nov 12 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 30 |
First 20° | Oct 18 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 5 |
First 24° | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
First 28° | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 |
First 32° | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 8 |
First 36° | Aug 27 | Sep 2 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Oct 1 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.