Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Jennings, LA
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by March 29. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on February 19, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by March 6 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Dec 28 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Jan 15 | Dec 31 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 24° | Feb 20 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 14 | Jan 2 | -- | -- | -- |
Last 28° | Mar 6 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 26 | Jan 18 | Jan 7 | -- |
Last 32° | Mar 22 | Mar 11 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Jan 29 | Jan 19 |
Last 36° | Mar 29 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by November 18.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around December 3
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by December 18
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Jan 14 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 20° | Jan 2 | Jan 17 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 24° | Dec 10 | Dec 22 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 | Jan 19 | Feb 3 | -- | -- | -- |
First 28° | Nov 23 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Jan 2 | Jan 11 | Jan 22 | -- |
First 32° | Nov 10 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 26 |
First 36° | Oct 30 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 5 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.