Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Jackson, OH
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 4.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 12
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 21
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 |
First 20° | Oct 24 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 4 |
First 24° | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 |
First 28° | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 |
First 32° | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
First 36° | Sep 17 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 28. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 29, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 11 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 29 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 |
Last 20° | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 |
Last 24° | Apr 22 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 |
Last 28° | May 5 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Mar 29 |
Last 32° | May 21 | May 15 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 13 |
Last 36° | May 28 | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 23 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.