Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Hawley, PA
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 10. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 14, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 24 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 25 | Mar 24 | Mar 22 | Mar 21 | Mar 19 | Mar 17 | Mar 15 |
Last 20° | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 |
Last 24° | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 |
Last 28° | May 10 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
Last 32° | May 24 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 27 |
Last 36° | Jun 10 | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 14 | May 8 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 24.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 2
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 10
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 |
First 20° | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
First 24° | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
First 28° | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 |
First 32° | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 |
First 36° | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.