Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Hartwell, GA
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 27. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on March 24, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 6 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 23 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 25 | Jan 17 | Jan 2 | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Mar 7 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 11 |
Last 24° | Mar 15 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 16 | Feb 11 | Feb 6 | Jan 29 |
Last 28° | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 |
Last 32° | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 |
Last 36° | Apr 27 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by November 2.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 13
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 25
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 | Jan 4 | Jan 11 | Jan 19 | Feb 4 | -- | -- |
First 20° | Dec 2 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 14 | Jan 25 |
First 24° | Nov 25 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 19 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 4 |
First 28° | Nov 2 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 |
First 32° | Oct 27 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
First 36° | Oct 9 | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 20 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.