Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Georgetown, SC
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 27. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on March 19, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 4 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 2 | Jan 19 | Jan 5 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Feb 22 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 3 | -- | -- |
Last 24° | Mar 11 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 13 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 25 | Jan 11 |
Last 28° | Mar 21 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 12 | Feb 4 |
Last 32° | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 26 |
Last 36° | Apr 27 | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 11 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by November 7.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 19
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by December 2
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Jan 2 | Jan 16 | Jan 30 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 20° | Dec 15 | Dec 25 | Jan 2 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Jan 26 | Feb 7 | -- | -- |
First 24° | Nov 26 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Jan 2 | Jan 9 | Jan 18 | Feb 4 |
First 28° | Nov 17 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Jan 3 |
First 32° | Oct 31 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 |
First 36° | Oct 21 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.