Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Edisto Beach State Park, SC
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 13. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on March 11, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by March 24 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Jan 23 | Jan 10 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Feb 19 | Feb 9 | Feb 1 | Jan 24 | Jan 16 | Jan 6 | -- | -- | -- |
Last 24° | Mar 1 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 25 | Jan 17 | Jan 2 | -- |
Last 28° | Mar 9 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 16 | Feb 11 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 25 |
Last 32° | Apr 3 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 13 |
Last 36° | Apr 13 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by November 19.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around December 7
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by December 24
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Jan 9 | Jan 22 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 20° | Dec 20 | Dec 31 | Jan 8 | Jan 17 | Jan 26 | Feb 8 | -- | -- | -- |
First 24° | Dec 8 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 | Jan 3 | Jan 11 | Jan 19 | Jan 28 | Feb 15 | -- |
First 28° | Nov 16 | Nov 28 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 5 | Jan 14 | Jan 26 |
First 32° | Nov 10 | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Jan 3 |
First 36° | Oct 28 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 4 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.