Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Driggs, ID
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 22. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 25, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by July 6 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | May 4 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 28 |
Last 20° | May 17 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 14 |
Last 24° | May 28 | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 24 |
Last 28° | Jun 16 | Jun 10 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 26 | May 22 | May 18 | May 12 |
Last 32° | Jul 12 | Jul 6 | Jul 2 | Jun 28 | Jun 24 | Jun 21 | Jun 17 | Jun 12 | Jun 6 |
Last 36° | Jul 22 | Jul 16 | Jul 12 | Jul 9 | Jul 6 | Jul 2 | Jun 29 | Jun 25 | Jun 20 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 24.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 3
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 14
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 5 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
First 20° | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 24 |
First 24° | Sep 9 | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 8 |
First 28° | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 15 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 |
First 32° | Aug 19 | Aug 24 | Aug 28 | Aug 31 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 19 |
First 36° | Aug 5 | Aug 11 | Aug 15 | Aug 19 | Aug 23 | Aug 26 | Aug 30 | Sep 3 | Sep 9 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.