Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Denio, NV
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 9. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 10, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 22 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 28 | Apr 16 | Apr 8 | Apr 1 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 12 | Mar 3 | Feb 20 |
Last 20° | May 8 | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 20 |
Last 24° | May 19 | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 14 |
Last 28° | Jun 1 | May 26 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | Apr 29 |
Last 32° | Jun 28 | Jun 21 | Jun 16 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 30 | May 25 | May 18 |
Last 36° | Jul 9 | Jul 3 | Jun 29 | Jun 25 | Jun 22 | Jun 18 | Jun 14 | Jun 10 | Jun 4 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 5.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 14
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 24
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 16 | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 28 |
First 20° | Oct 3 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 |
First 24° | Sep 24 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 29 |
First 28° | Sep 13 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 |
First 32° | Aug 31 | Sep 5 | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 |
First 36° | Aug 19 | Aug 24 | Aug 28 | Aug 31 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 18 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.