Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Deeth, NV
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 31. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on July 5, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by July 16 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | May 3 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 |
Last 20° | May 24 | May 17 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 12 |
Last 24° | Jun 4 | May 28 | May 23 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 24 |
Last 28° | Jun 20 | Jun 13 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 27 | May 23 | May 18 | May 11 |
Last 32° | Jul 23 | Jul 17 | Jul 12 | Jul 8 | Jul 4 | Jun 30 | Jun 26 | Jun 22 | Jun 15 |
Last 36° | Jul 31 | Jul 26 | Jul 22 | Jul 19 | Jul 16 | Jul 13 | Jul 9 | Jul 5 | Jun 30 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 12.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around August 22
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by August 31
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Sep 20 | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 27 |
First 20° | Sep 7 | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 16 |
First 24° | Aug 28 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 |
First 28° | Aug 18 | Aug 24 | Aug 28 | Aug 31 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 19 |
First 32° | Aug 7 | Aug 12 | Aug 16 | Aug 19 | Aug 22 | Aug 24 | Aug 27 | Aug 31 | Sep 5 |
First 36° | Jul 31 | Aug 5 | Aug 8 | Aug 11 | Aug 14 | Aug 16 | Aug 19 | Aug 22 | Aug 27 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.