Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Darlington, SC
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 26. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on March 29, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 9 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 23 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 | Jan 28 | Jan 19 | Jan 3 | -- | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Mar 8 | Feb 26 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 13 | -- |
Last 24° | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 18 | Feb 13 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 |
Last 28° | Apr 2 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 |
Last 32° | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 |
Last 36° | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 24.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 4
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 16
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 21 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 | Jan 18 | Jan 29 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 20° | Nov 30 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 9 | Jan 18 | -- |
First 24° | Nov 15 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 5 |
First 28° | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 |
First 32° | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 |
First 36° | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 9 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.