Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Bowling Green Wwtp, OH
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 5.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 14
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 24
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 |
First 20° | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 |
First 24° | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 28 |
First 28° | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
First 32° | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
First 36° | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 23. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 29, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 8 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
Last 20° | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 |
Last 24° | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 |
Last 28° | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
Last 32° | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
Last 36° | May 23 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.