Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Beulah, ND
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 7.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 14
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 22
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 5 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 9 |
First 20° | Sep 24 | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Nov 2 |
First 24° | Sep 17 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 21 |
First 28° | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 |
First 32° | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 |
First 36° | Aug 17 | Aug 23 | Aug 27 | Aug 30 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 19 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 21. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 22, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 3 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 |
Last 20° | May 6 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 1 |
Last 24° | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 |
Last 28° | May 25 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 28 |
Last 32° | Jun 1 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 5 |
Last 36° | Jun 21 | Jun 15 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 27 | May 22 | May 16 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.