Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Bartow, WV
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 19. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 16, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 30 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 |
Last 20° | Apr 28 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 |
Last 24° | May 12 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 3 |
Last 28° | May 28 | May 22 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 22 |
Last 32° | Jun 5 | May 30 | May 26 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 7 | May 1 |
Last 36° | Jun 19 | Jun 12 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 30 | May 26 | May 21 | May 16 | May 9 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 15.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 26
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 6
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 21 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 |
First 20° | Oct 6 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 16 |
First 24° | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 |
First 28° | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 |
First 32° | Sep 9 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 12 |
First 36° | Aug 28 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 30 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.