Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Amite, LA
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 13. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on March 13, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by March 26 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Jan 17 | Jan 5 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Feb 17 | Feb 6 | Jan 29 | Jan 21 | Jan 11 | Dec 26 | -- | -- | -- |
Last 24° | Mar 2 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 17 | Jan 7 |
Last 28° | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 19 | Feb 15 | Feb 10 | Feb 5 | Jan 28 |
Last 32° | Apr 1 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 |
Last 36° | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by November 6.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 17
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 28
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Jan 3 | Jan 15 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 20° | Dec 13 | Dec 25 | Jan 3 | Jan 12 | Jan 23 | Feb 11 | -- | -- | -- |
First 24° | Nov 30 | Dec 9 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 28 | Jan 3 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Jan 29 |
First 28° | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 |
First 32° | Oct 31 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
First 36° | Oct 16 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.