Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Allatoona Dam, GA
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 28. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 8, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 16 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 3 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 17 | Jan 6 |
Last 20° | Mar 9 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 12 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 17 |
Last 24° | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 |
Last 28° | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 |
Last 32° | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 |
Last 36° | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 27.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 5
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 13
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 7 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 14 | Jan 21 | Feb 2 |
First 20° | Nov 30 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 14 |
First 24° | Nov 9 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 29 |
First 28° | Oct 26 | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 7 |
First 32° | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
First 36° | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 5 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.