Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Adel, OR
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 7. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 7, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 19 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 15 | Apr 3 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Feb 26 | Feb 18 | Feb 6 |
Last 20° | Apr 30 | Apr 19 | Apr 10 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 6 | Feb 23 |
Last 24° | May 13 | May 4 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 24 |
Last 28° | Jun 5 | May 28 | May 22 | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 1 | Apr 25 | Apr 17 |
Last 32° | Jun 27 | Jun 20 | Jun 15 | Jun 10 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 24 | May 17 |
Last 36° | Jul 7 | Jul 1 | Jun 26 | Jun 22 | Jun 19 | Jun 15 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | May 31 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 5.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 17
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 29
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 29 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 8 |
First 20° | Oct 10 | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 23 |
First 24° | Sep 17 | Sep 26 | Oct 4 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 21 | Oct 27 | Nov 3 | Nov 13 |
First 28° | Sep 3 | Sep 12 | Sep 18 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 16 | Oct 25 |
First 32° | Aug 29 | Sep 5 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 5 |
First 36° | Aug 20 | Aug 27 | Sep 1 | Sep 5 | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 27 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.