Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Sugar Land, TX

ℹ️ How to read these charts for the spring

As spring unfolds, the risk of frost gradually decreases each day until your tender plants are finally safe. The probabilities shown in the chart help you make smart decisions about when to plant.

While frost typically forms at 32°F, tender plants can be damaged even when temperatures are slightly higher. Air temperatures are often measured several feet above the ground, but temperatures at plant level can be several degrees colder. Protected areas like porches help by blocking radiational cooling. Given these variables, we consider 36°F the "caution zone" for frost-sensitive plants.

Key dates for your spring planting:

  • By March 28, you have a 90% chance of being frost-free — this is your "safe date" for planting tender crops
  • Around March 4, there's a 50/50 chance of frost — check weather forecasts carefully if planting now
  • Before February 16, there's still an 80% risk of frost — too early for tomatoes and other tender plants unless you're prepared to protect them

If the 10-day forecast shows no temperatures below 40°F, you might safely plant earlier than the above dates suggest. Many gardeners watch for this weather window to get a head start on the growing season.

In the Spring
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Last 16° Dec 26 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Last 20° Jan 23 Jan 11 Dec 26 -- -- -- -- -- --
Last 24° Feb 12 Feb 2 Jan 24 Jan 17 Jan 9 Dec 29 -- -- --
Last 28° Mar 2 Feb 17 Feb 8 Jan 31 Jan 23 Jan 14 Jan 3 Dec 14 --
Last 32° Mar 18 Mar 7 Feb 28 Feb 21 Feb 15 Feb 8 Feb 2 Jan 25 Jan 14
Last 36° Mar 28 Mar 20 Mar 14 Mar 9 Mar 4 Feb 27 Feb 22 Feb 16 Feb 7

ℹ️ How to read these charts for the fall

As summer ends in Sugar Land, TX, nighttime temperatures begin to drop, and your risk of frost increases with each passing day. Knowing when to expect frost helps you harvest sensitive crops and extend your growing season with protection methods.

The chart below shows the probability of experiencing specific temperatures on various dates. Here's what this means for your garden:

1
Early warning: Around November 20, there's a 20% chance of 32°F — start monitoring forecasts and have plant covers ready
2
Decision time: By December 10, there's a 50% chance of frost — harvest tomatoes, peppers, and other tender crops or prepare protection
3
Last chance: By December 30, there's an 80% chance of seeing 32°F — most tender plants will be damaged without protection
4
Another perspective: You have only a 1 in 5 chance of making it past December 30 without a freezing night

These probabilities help you time your end-of-season harvests and know when to apply protective measures like row covers, cloches, or cold frames to extend your harvest.

In the Fall
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
First 16° Jan 6 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
First 20° Dec 30 Jan 12 Jan 29 -- -- -- -- -- --
First 24° Dec 13 Dec 25 Jan 3 Jan 12 Jan 22 Feb 5 -- -- --
First 28° Nov 28 Dec 6 Dec 12 Dec 18 Dec 24 Dec 30 Jan 7 -- --
First 32° Nov 10 Nov 20 Nov 28 Dec 4 Dec 10 Dec 16 Dec 22 Dec 30 Jan 9
First 36° Oct 29 Nov 6 Nov 12 Nov 16 Nov 21 Nov 25 Nov 30 Dec 5 Dec 13

📍 Frost Dates for other nearby locations

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Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.