Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Independence, MS

ℹ️ How to read these charts for the spring

As spring unfolds, the risk of frost gradually decreases each day until your tender plants are finally safe. The probabilities shown in the chart help you make smart decisions about when to plant.

While frost typically forms at 32°F, tender plants can be damaged even when temperatures are slightly higher. Air temperatures are often measured several feet above the ground, but temperatures at plant level can be several degrees colder. Protected areas like porches help by blocking radiational cooling. Given these variables, we consider 36°F the "caution zone" for frost-sensitive plants.

Key dates for your spring planting:

  • By April 25, you have a 90% chance of being frost-free — this is your "safe date" for planting tender crops
  • Around April 11, there's a 50/50 chance of frost — check weather forecasts carefully if planting now
  • Before April 1, there's still an 80% risk of frost — too early for tomatoes and other tender plants unless you're prepared to protect them

If the 10-day forecast shows no temperatures below 40°F, you might safely plant earlier than the above dates suggest. Many gardeners watch for this weather window to get a head start on the growing season.

In the Spring
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Last 16° Mar 8 Feb 24 Feb 16 Feb 8 Feb 1 Jan 25 Jan 17 Jan 7 Dec 19
Last 20° Mar 7 Mar 1 Feb 24 Feb 20 Feb 17 Feb 13 Feb 9 Feb 5 Jan 30
Last 24° Mar 20 Mar 13 Mar 8 Mar 3 Feb 27 Feb 23 Feb 18 Feb 13 Feb 5
Last 28° Apr 6 Mar 31 Mar 26 Mar 22 Mar 18 Mar 15 Mar 11 Mar 6 Feb 27
Last 32° Apr 16 Apr 11 Apr 8 Apr 5 Apr 2 Mar 30 Mar 27 Mar 24 Mar 19
Last 36° Apr 25 Apr 20 Apr 17 Apr 13 Apr 11 Apr 8 Apr 5 Apr 1 Mar 27

ℹ️ How to read these charts for the fall

As summer ends in Independence, MS, nighttime temperatures begin to drop, and your risk of frost increases with each passing day. Knowing when to expect frost helps you harvest sensitive crops and extend your growing season with protection methods.

The chart below shows the probability of experiencing specific temperatures on various dates. Here's what this means for your garden:

1
Early warning: Around October 20, there's a 20% chance of 32°F — start monitoring forecasts and have plant covers ready
2
Decision time: By October 30, there's a 50% chance of frost — harvest tomatoes, peppers, and other tender crops or prepare protection
3
Last chance: By November 9, there's an 80% chance of seeing 32°F — most tender plants will be damaged without protection
4
Another perspective: You have only a 1 in 5 chance of making it past November 9 without a freezing night

These probabilities help you time your end-of-season harvests and know when to apply protective measures like row covers, cloches, or cold frames to extend your harvest.

In the Fall
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
First 16° Nov 29 Dec 10 Dec 19 Dec 26 Jan 1 Jan 8 Jan 16 Jan 26 Feb 13
First 20° Nov 15 Nov 23 Nov 29 Dec 3 Dec 8 Dec 12 Dec 17 Dec 23 Dec 31
First 24° Nov 4 Nov 12 Nov 17 Nov 22 Nov 26 Dec 1 Dec 5 Dec 11 Dec 18
First 28° Oct 23 Oct 29 Nov 2 Nov 6 Nov 10 Nov 13 Nov 17 Nov 21 Nov 27
First 32° Oct 15 Oct 20 Oct 24 Oct 27 Oct 30 Nov 2 Nov 5 Nov 9 Nov 14
First 36° Oct 4 Oct 8 Oct 11 Oct 13 Oct 16 Oct 18 Oct 20 Oct 23 Oct 27

📍 Frost Dates for other nearby locations

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Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.