Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Holly Springs, MS

ℹ️ How to read these charts for the spring

As spring unfolds, the risk of frost gradually decreases each day until your tender plants are finally safe. The probabilities shown in the chart help you make smart decisions about when to plant.

While frost typically forms at 32°F, tender plants can be damaged even when temperatures are slightly higher. Air temperatures are often measured several feet above the ground, but temperatures at plant level can be several degrees colder. Protected areas like porches help by blocking radiational cooling. Given these variables, we consider 36°F the "caution zone" for frost-sensitive plants.

Key dates for your spring planting:

  • By April 29, you have a 90% chance of being frost-free — this is your "safe date" for planting tender crops
  • Around April 18, there's a 50/50 chance of frost — check weather forecasts carefully if planting now
  • Before April 10, there's still an 80% risk of frost — too early for tomatoes and other tender plants unless you're prepared to protect them

If the 10-day forecast shows no temperatures below 40°F, you might safely plant earlier than the above dates suggest. Many gardeners watch for this weather window to get a head start on the growing season.

In the Spring
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Last 16° Mar 5 Feb 24 Feb 18 Feb 13 Feb 8 Feb 4 Jan 29 Jan 23 Jan 15
Last 20° Mar 15 Mar 8 Mar 3 Feb 27 Feb 23 Feb 19 Feb 15 Feb 10 Feb 3
Last 24° Mar 26 Mar 20 Mar 16 Mar 12 Mar 9 Mar 5 Mar 1 Feb 25 Feb 19
Last 28° Apr 11 Apr 6 Apr 3 Mar 31 Mar 28 Mar 26 Mar 23 Mar 20 Mar 15
Last 32° Apr 21 Apr 17 Apr 14 Apr 11 Apr 9 Apr 7 Apr 4 Apr 1 Mar 28
Last 36° Apr 29 Apr 25 Apr 23 Apr 20 Apr 18 Apr 15 Apr 13 Apr 10 Apr 6

ℹ️ How to read these charts for the fall

As summer ends in Holly Springs, MS, nighttime temperatures begin to drop, and your risk of frost increases with each passing day. Knowing when to expect frost helps you harvest sensitive crops and extend your growing season with protection methods.

The chart below shows the probability of experiencing specific temperatures on various dates. Here's what this means for your garden:

1
Early warning: Around October 10, there's a 20% chance of 32°F — start monitoring forecasts and have plant covers ready
2
Decision time: By October 21, there's a 50% chance of frost — harvest tomatoes, peppers, and other tender crops or prepare protection
3
Last chance: By October 31, there's an 80% chance of seeing 32°F — most tender plants will be damaged without protection
4
Another perspective: You have only a 1 in 5 chance of making it past October 31 without a freezing night

These probabilities help you time your end-of-season harvests and know when to apply protective measures like row covers, cloches, or cold frames to extend your harvest.

In the Fall
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
First 16° Nov 24 Dec 3 Dec 10 Dec 15 Dec 20 Dec 26 Dec 31 Jan 7 Jan 16
First 20° Nov 5 Nov 13 Nov 19 Nov 24 Nov 29 Dec 4 Dec 9 Dec 15 Dec 23
First 24° Nov 1 Nov 7 Nov 11 Nov 15 Nov 18 Nov 21 Nov 25 Nov 29 Dec 5
First 28° Oct 17 Oct 22 Oct 26 Oct 29 Nov 2 Nov 5 Nov 8 Nov 12 Nov 17
First 32° Oct 5 Oct 10 Oct 14 Oct 17 Oct 21 Oct 24 Oct 27 Oct 31 Nov 5
First 36° Sep 29 Oct 4 Oct 6 Oct 9 Oct 11 Oct 14 Oct 16 Oct 19 Oct 23

📍 Frost Dates for other nearby locations

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Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.