Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Willow Creek, CA

ℹ️ How to read these charts for the spring

As spring unfolds, the risk of frost gradually decreases each day until your tender plants are finally safe. The probabilities shown in the chart help you make smart decisions about when to plant.

While frost typically forms at 32°F, tender plants can be damaged even when temperatures are slightly higher. Air temperatures are often measured several feet above the ground, but temperatures at plant level can be several degrees colder. Protected areas like porches help by blocking radiational cooling. Given these variables, we consider 36°F the "caution zone" for frost-sensitive plants.

Key dates for your spring planting:

  • By June 1, you have a 90% chance of being frost-free — this is your "safe date" for planting tender crops
  • Around May 11, there's a 50/50 chance of frost — check weather forecasts carefully if planting now
  • Before April 27, there's still an 80% risk of frost — too early for tomatoes and other tender plants unless you're prepared to protect them

If the 10-day forecast shows no temperatures below 40°F, you might safely plant earlier than the above dates suggest. Many gardeners watch for this weather window to get a head start on the growing season.

In the Spring
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Last 16° Dec 24 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Last 20° Mar 19 Feb 19 Jan 27 Jan 3 Dec 1 -- -- -- --
Last 24° Apr 14 Mar 17 Feb 25 Feb 6 Jan 19 Dec 30 Dec 2 -- --
Last 28° Apr 27 Apr 8 Mar 26 Mar 14 Mar 4 Feb 21 Feb 10 Jan 27 Jan 8
Last 32° May 17 May 6 Apr 28 Apr 21 Apr 15 Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 25 Mar 14
Last 36° Jun 1 May 25 May 19 May 15 May 11 May 7 May 2 Apr 27 Apr 20

ℹ️ How to read these charts for the fall

As summer ends in Willow Creek, CA, nighttime temperatures begin to drop, and your risk of frost increases with each passing day. Knowing when to expect frost helps you harvest sensitive crops and extend your growing season with protection methods.

The chart below shows the probability of experiencing specific temperatures on various dates. Here's what this means for your garden:

1
Early warning: Around October 9, there's a 20% chance of 32°F — start monitoring forecasts and have plant covers ready
2
Decision time: By November 2, there's a 50% chance of frost — harvest tomatoes, peppers, and other tender crops or prepare protection
3
Last chance: By November 27, there's an 80% chance of seeing 32°F — most tender plants will be damaged without protection
4
Another perspective: You have only a 1 in 5 chance of making it past November 27 without a freezing night

These probabilities help you time your end-of-season harvests and know when to apply protective measures like row covers, cloches, or cold frames to extend your harvest.

In the Fall
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
First 16° Nov 25 Feb 7 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
First 20° Nov 13 Dec 14 Jan 7 Feb 1 Mar 4 -- -- -- --
First 24° Oct 24 Nov 14 Nov 29 Dec 14 Dec 28 Jan 12 Feb 2 -- --
First 28° Oct 11 Oct 28 Nov 9 Nov 19 Nov 28 Dec 8 Dec 18 Dec 30 Jan 15
First 32° Sep 26 Oct 9 Oct 18 Oct 26 Nov 2 Nov 10 Nov 18 Nov 27 Dec 10
First 36° Sep 15 Sep 25 Oct 2 Oct 8 Oct 13 Oct 19 Oct 24 Oct 31 Nov 10

📍 Frost Dates for other nearby locations

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Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.