Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Tierra Amarilla, NM

ℹ️ How to read these charts for the spring

As spring unfolds, the risk of frost gradually decreases each day until your tender plants are finally safe. The probabilities shown in the chart help you make smart decisions about when to plant.

While frost typically forms at 32°F, tender plants can be damaged even when temperatures are slightly higher. Air temperatures are often measured several feet above the ground, but temperatures at plant level can be several degrees colder. Protected areas like porches help by blocking radiational cooling. Given these variables, we consider 36°F the "caution zone" for frost-sensitive plants.

Key dates for your spring planting:

  • By July 19, you have a 90% chance of being frost-free — this is your "safe date" for planting tender crops
  • Around July 3, there's a 50/50 chance of frost — check weather forecasts carefully if planting now
  • Before June 22, there's still an 80% risk of frost — too early for tomatoes and other tender plants unless you're prepared to protect them

If the 10-day forecast shows no temperatures below 40°F, you might safely plant earlier than the above dates suggest. Many gardeners watch for this weather window to get a head start on the growing season.

In the Spring
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Last 16° May 10 May 3 Apr 27 Apr 22 Apr 17 Apr 13 Apr 8 Apr 2 Mar 26
Last 20° May 20 May 13 May 8 May 4 Apr 30 Apr 25 Apr 21 Apr 16 Apr 9
Last 24° Jun 5 May 29 May 24 May 20 May 16 May 12 May 8 May 3 Apr 27
Last 28° Jun 21 Jun 15 Jun 11 Jun 8 Jun 5 Jun 2 May 29 May 25 May 20
Last 32° Jul 8 Jul 2 Jun 27 Jun 23 Jun 19 Jun 16 Jun 12 Jun 7 May 31
Last 36° Jul 19 Jul 14 Jul 9 Jul 6 Jul 3 Jun 30 Jun 26 Jun 22 Jun 16

ℹ️ How to read these charts for the fall

As summer ends in Tierra Amarilla, NM, nighttime temperatures begin to drop, and your risk of frost increases with each passing day. Knowing when to expect frost helps you harvest sensitive crops and extend your growing season with protection methods.

The chart below shows the probability of experiencing specific temperatures on various dates. Here's what this means for your garden:

1
Early warning: Around September 3, there's a 20% chance of 32°F — start monitoring forecasts and have plant covers ready
2
Decision time: By September 13, there's a 50% chance of frost — harvest tomatoes, peppers, and other tender crops or prepare protection
3
Last chance: By September 23, there's an 80% chance of seeing 32°F — most tender plants will be damaged without protection
4
Another perspective: You have only a 1 in 5 chance of making it past September 23 without a freezing night

These probabilities help you time your end-of-season harvests and know when to apply protective measures like row covers, cloches, or cold frames to extend your harvest.

In the Fall
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
First 16° Oct 12 Oct 18 Oct 22 Oct 25 Oct 28 Oct 31 Nov 4 Nov 8 Nov 13
First 20° Sep 27 Oct 3 Oct 7 Oct 10 Oct 14 Oct 17 Oct 21 Oct 25 Oct 30
First 24° Sep 21 Sep 26 Sep 30 Oct 3 Oct 5 Oct 8 Oct 11 Oct 15 Oct 20
First 28° Sep 10 Sep 14 Sep 17 Sep 20 Sep 22 Sep 24 Sep 27 Sep 30 Oct 4
First 32° Aug 29 Sep 3 Sep 7 Sep 10 Sep 13 Sep 16 Sep 19 Sep 23 Sep 28
First 36° Aug 17 Aug 22 Aug 26 Aug 30 Sep 2 Sep 5 Sep 9 Sep 13 Sep 18

📍 Frost Dates for other nearby locations

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Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.