Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Carrizozo, NM

ℹ️ How to read these charts for the spring

As spring unfolds, the risk of frost gradually decreases each day until your tender plants are finally safe. The probabilities shown in the chart help you make smart decisions about when to plant.

While frost typically forms at 32°F, tender plants can be damaged even when temperatures are slightly higher. Air temperatures are often measured several feet above the ground, but temperatures at plant level can be several degrees colder. Protected areas like porches help by blocking radiational cooling. Given these variables, we consider 36°F the "caution zone" for frost-sensitive plants.

Key dates for your spring planting:

  • By May 24, you have a 90% chance of being frost-free — this is your "safe date" for planting tender crops
  • Around May 11, there's a 50/50 chance of frost — check weather forecasts carefully if planting now
  • Before May 3, there's still an 80% risk of frost — too early for tomatoes and other tender plants unless you're prepared to protect them

If the 10-day forecast shows no temperatures below 40°F, you might safely plant earlier than the above dates suggest. Many gardeners watch for this weather window to get a head start on the growing season.

In the Spring
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Last 16° Mar 28 Mar 18 Mar 11 Mar 5 Feb 27 Feb 22 Feb 16 Feb 9 Jan 30
Last 20° Apr 10 Apr 2 Mar 28 Mar 23 Mar 18 Mar 14 Mar 9 Mar 3 Feb 23
Last 24° Apr 17 Apr 12 Apr 9 Apr 6 Apr 3 Apr 1 Mar 29 Mar 25 Mar 21
Last 28° May 1 Apr 26 Apr 22 Apr 19 Apr 16 Apr 13 Apr 10 Apr 6 Apr 1
Last 32° May 12 May 7 May 4 May 2 Apr 29 Apr 27 Apr 24 Apr 21 Apr 16
Last 36° May 24 May 19 May 16 May 13 May 11 May 8 May 6 May 3 Apr 28

ℹ️ How to read these charts for the fall

As summer ends in Carrizozo, NM, nighttime temperatures begin to drop, and your risk of frost increases with each passing day. Knowing when to expect frost helps you harvest sensitive crops and extend your growing season with protection methods.

The chart below shows the probability of experiencing specific temperatures on various dates. Here's what this means for your garden:

1
Early warning: Around October 9, there's a 20% chance of 32°F — start monitoring forecasts and have plant covers ready
2
Decision time: By October 18, there's a 50% chance of frost — harvest tomatoes, peppers, and other tender crops or prepare protection
3
Last chance: By October 27, there's an 80% chance of seeing 32°F — most tender plants will be damaged without protection
4
Another perspective: You have only a 1 in 5 chance of making it past October 27 without a freezing night

These probabilities help you time your end-of-season harvests and know when to apply protective measures like row covers, cloches, or cold frames to extend your harvest.

In the Fall
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
First 16° Nov 6 Nov 13 Nov 18 Nov 22 Nov 26 Nov 30 Dec 5 Dec 9 Dec 16
First 20° Oct 29 Nov 4 Nov 8 Nov 12 Nov 15 Nov 18 Nov 22 Nov 26 Dec 2
First 24° Oct 24 Oct 28 Nov 1 Nov 4 Nov 7 Nov 9 Nov 12 Nov 16 Nov 21
First 28° Oct 13 Oct 18 Oct 21 Oct 24 Oct 27 Oct 30 Nov 2 Nov 5 Nov 10
First 32° Oct 4 Oct 9 Oct 12 Oct 15 Oct 18 Oct 21 Oct 24 Oct 27 Nov 1
First 36° Sep 28 Oct 2 Oct 5 Oct 8 Oct 10 Oct 13 Oct 16 Oct 19 Oct 23

📍 Frost Dates for other nearby locations

Or enter a new zipcode:

Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.