Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for mt pleasant univ, mi
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 29.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 10
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 20
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 |
First 20° | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
First 24° | Oct 21 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
First 28° | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 |
First 32° | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 26 |
First 36° | Sep 10 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 7 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 3. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 7, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 18 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 |
Last 20° | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 |
Last 24° | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 |
Last 28° | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 |
Last 32° | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 |
Last 36° | Jun 3 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 2 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.